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When Genius Failed : The Rise and Fall of Long-Term Capital Management (0375758259)



When Genius Failed : The Rise and Fall of Long-Term Capital Management
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Product ID: 100742
UPC: 639785330486
ISBN: 0375758259
ISBN13: 9780375758256

Release Date: 2001-10-09
Publication Date: 2001-10-09
Author(s): Roger Lowenstein
Binding: Paperback
Number of Pages: 288
Publisher: Random House Trade Paperbacks

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SKU 0375758259
Weight 0.25 Kgs
Price: HK$128.00

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On September 23, 1998, the boardroom of the New York Fed was a tense place. Around the table sat the heads of every major Wall Street bank, the chairman of the New York Stock Exchange, and representatives from numerous European banks, each of whom had been summoned to discuss a highly unusual prospect: rescuing what had, until then, been the envy of them all, the extraordinarily successful bond-trading firm of Long-Term Capital Management. Roger Lowenstein's When Genius Failed is the gripping story of the Fed's unprecedented move, the incredible heights reached by LTCM, and the firm's eventual dramatic demise.

Lowenstein, a financial journalist and author of Buffett: The Making of an American Capitalist, examines the personalities, academic experts, and professional relationships at LTCM and uncovers the layers of numbers behind its roller-coaster ride with the precision of a skilled surgeon. The fund's enigmatic founder, John Meriwether, spent almost 20 years at Salomon Brothers, where he formed its renowned Arbitrage Group by hiring academia's top financial economists. Though Meriwether left Salomon under a cloud of the SEC's wrath, he leapt into his next venture with ease and enticed most of his former Salomon hires--and eventually even David Mullins, the former vice chairman of the U.S. Federal Reserve--to join him in starting a hedge fund that would beat all hedge funds.

LTCM began trading in 1994, after completing a road show that, despite the Ph.D.-touting partners' lack of social skills and their disdainful condescension of potential investors who couldn't rise to their intellectual level, netted a whopping $1.25 billion. The fund would seek to earn a tiny spread on thousands of trades, "as if it were vacuuming nickels that others couldn't see," in the words of one of its Nobel laureate partners, Myron Scholes. And nickels it found. In its first two years, LTCM earned $1.6 billion, profits that exceeded 40 percent even after the partners' hefty cuts. By the spring of 1996, it was holding $140 billion in assets. But the end was soon in sight, and Lowenstein's detailed account of each successively worse month of 1998, culminating in a disastrous August and the partners' subsequent panicked moves, is riveting.

The arbitrageur's world is a complicated one, and it might have served Lowenstein well to slow down and explain in greater detail the complex terms of the more exotic species of investment flora that cram the book's pages. However, much of the intrigue of the Long-Term story lies in its dizzying pace (not to mention the dizzying amounts of money won and lost in the fund's short lifespan). Lowenstein's smooth, conversational but equally urgent tone carries it along well. The book is a compelling read for those who've always wondered what lay behind the Fed's controversial involvement with the LTCM hedge-fund debacle. --S. Ketchum

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Author: Guest
This is a book that makes finance exciting. I was assigned this book for a Finance class and was surprised to find it so interesting. I recommend it for anyone with an interest in the behind-the-scenes goings-on on Wall Street. My only negative criticism of this book is that the author seems to rely on simple moral judgements to explain why this happened (ie They were greedy! Those narrow-minded academics relied too heavily on their belief in their own infallability!). But a good read nonetheless!


Author: Guest
i'd write a long-winded review, but i'd only be repeating what everyone else has already said. THIS IS A MUST-READ FOR COLLEGE STUDENTS INTERESTED IN FINANCE. i cannot stress it enough. i've had job interviews where i just happened to slip LTCM out of my mouth and next thing you know we're having a 10 minute discussion about interest swaps and derivatives.


Author: Guest
This short book tells the story of the rise and fall of Long- Term Capital Management during the second half of the 1990s and the Wall Street investment banks that came to Long-Term's rescue. The author does a great job recreating the events through interviews with the key players and news coverage at the time, and the story he tells is beautifully written. I was mesmerized, wanting to know what happens next. I don't remember the event when it actually occurred because I was out of the country at the time and failed to follow the events on Wall Street. But now that I am working on Wall Street with an interest in private equity, I realized quickly that I needed to learn from other people's previous mistakes.



In short, this book is about how a small group of economic and financial geniuses raised an incredible sum of money in a short time, betting that the past was indicative of the future. The author argues, however, that the traders at Long-Term failed to account for the human factor and the fact that the market is not always rationale. In only a few months, the fund's billions had disappeared and the titans of Wall Street, which were all intertwined with the fund, had to step in under the auspices of the Federal Reserve to avoid a financial disaster. Once bailed out, the Long-Term traders brushed off the events of autumn 1998 as a fluke that occurred only once every hundred years. After completing the book, however, I am convinced that is not the case. Anyone willing to bet all they have on limited information with the result resting on numerous variables is bound to fall sometime - even if it's only twice a century.


Author: Guest
Turning topics like bond arbitrage, volatility selling, and "flight to liquidity" into a crisp, condense, top-selling book is probably Lowenstein's crowning achievement with "When Genius Failed." He's a very talented writer with a knack for fleshing out a diverse array of colorful characters, and that makes this book appealing both to the interested layman, as well as all but the most curmudgeonly financial professional.



The book takes us back to Saloman's bond arbitrage desk, where the enigmatic John Meriwether first mastered some of the convergence strategies he and the brain trust would later use to great effect in Greenwich.



Then we learn some about how the fund's management was constructed, all the various places they drew money from, and ultimately observe the masters in action, placing their token efficient market bets that yield spreads just couldn't get any wider. All this leads up to 1998, where even early in the year certain cracks in the hull began to appear; namely concerns over vanishing opportunities in the bond arbitrage market (the rifraff had become wise to some of the professors' token strategies, thereby eliminating their effectiveness), and LTCM's extensions into fields beyond its expertise, particularly merger arbitrage. All this leads to the perfect storm of 1998, when the fund's short volatility positions exploded in a summer storm of apocalytic proportions. Lowenstein chronicled the actual debacle superbly.



One quibble is Lowenstein's cautioning reptition of how dangerous it is for traders/investors to use historical patterns to get a read on how the market might look in the future. While I agree that it's dangerous to bet 10,000% of your equity on the likelihood of a particular pattern repeating, one can't really trade without a healthy understanding of historical precedent. In the financial markets, history does repeat itself more often than not. So, I think LTCM's debacle was more the result of its gargantuan margin than a horrible, fatal flaw in its trading models.



All that aside, this is a great book, as fun to read as it is informative.



Highly Recommended


Author: Guest
This book is fairly well-written but is toned down to suit a mass audience. Of course, with such an approach, accuracy is sacrificed. However, this book was a decent read and it was not too dragging. It actually makes a quite boring discussion (at least for normal people) into something quite interesting. How can a quant book ever become a bestseller, right?! Well, I don't think that the book presents some of the finance concepts accurately. The discussion on market efficiency contained cherry-picked quotes, and does not truly present how the academe really views the theory of market efficiency. However, for the intended audience, this is clearly definitely not a big problem. Anyway, for those who want to read an interesting part of finance history and how financial derivatives got a bad name, you can benefit from reading this book.

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